• wumeow 5 hours ago |
    If you say why not tomorrow, I say why not today? If you say today at 5 o’clock, I say why not one o’clock?
  • datavirtue 5 hours ago |
    In other news, US is building a fleet of barges suitable for Greenland landings.
    • krapp 5 hours ago |
      Imperialism is OK when we do it.
    • lysace 4 hours ago |
      > In other news, US is building a fleet of barges suitable for Greenland landings.

      Do you actually believe that the US is currently building a "fleet of barges suitable for Greenland landings"? For real?

      • datavirtue 3 hours ago |
        It's obviously a joke, which is usually lost on HN.
        • lysace 3 hours ago |
          yeah no. you don't get to gaslight us this way.
  • more_corn 5 hours ago |
    Huh, I wonder if they’re going to invade Taiwan like they promised to do by 2027. I love how people somehow still think it’s not going to happen.
    • JumpCrisscross 4 hours ago |
      > invade Taiwan like they promised to do by 2027

      When did Beijing say this?

  • lysace 5 hours ago |
    Trump needs to address this. CCP is getting antsy.
    • netsharc 4 hours ago |
      "What's in it for me?".

      "Ok China, Taiwan offered me X, Y, Z. What've you got?"

      • lysace 4 hours ago |
        > "What's in it for me?".

        TSMC

  • plurby 4 hours ago |
    it's only a matter of time, but certainly in the next 3 years
    • jncfhnb 4 hours ago |
      Xi could feasibly get overthrown if the economy continues to suck. It would not surprise me if the successor wants to suck up the US
      • wood_spirit 2 hours ago |
        It is common for dictators to go to war to divert attention away from internal discontent and unite a country
        • rudasn 2 hours ago |
          Not just dictators..
        • jncfhnb 33 minutes ago |
          A war against Taiwan would be hugely costly in terms of sanctions. That would hardly unite the country.
  • rhelz 4 hours ago |
    Is there anybody on here with the military chops to tell me why these wouldn't just be sitting ducks? You could bomb them with plains, you could torpedo them with submarines, you could mine the area where they land....
    • krapp 4 hours ago |
      Because China is a nuclear power. Nuclear powers get to do what they want, as per the precedent set by the US.
      • JumpCrisscross 2 hours ago |
        > Nuclear powers get to do what they want, as per the precedent set by the US

        It's a Cold War precedent. (Since the Cold War, one underlined by America, Russia and China.) America had a global nuclear monopoly for years and didn't exploit it.

    • exabrial 3 hours ago |
      They certainly wouldn't be the first waive. China would start with cyber attacks, the destroy communication infrastructure (fiber, satellites), jam communications, fire standoff weapons, then land bombardment, and then this. Roughly in that order if I've watched enough simulations (no military background here btw, just repeating).
    • maxglute 2 hours ago |
      I mean they are.

      Realistically some will be hit during intial exchanges, current specialized amphib like this vessel mostly used for training and CONEMPs.

      PRC will rebuild at leisure once TW is defanged / US removed from equation, last year they built more dry tonnage than entire 5 year US ship building program during WW2. They can crank these out during amphib phase...

      By the time these are employed, landing will mostly be largely uncontested. TBH by the time these are employed TW will have no energy, no calories, no running water, no sewage etc... they'll probably be looking forward to logistics barges to bring in supplies.

      • Leary 44 minutes ago |
        Slight tangent: thoughts on the J-36 in a hypothetical Taiwan scenario?
  • wood_spirit 2 hours ago |
    Some satellite photos show the new barges clearly

    https://allsourceanalysis.com/featured-analysis/